Christ religion

Researchers plot religion slide in US

AFFILIATION with Christianity is shrinking in the United States, and it may no longer be the majority religion in the coming decades, new research reveals.

The Pew Research Center looked at the religious future of the United States, based on current trends. He found that there had been an acceleration in the trend of Americans identifying as atheist, agnostic, or “nothing in particular,” and he modeled four different scenarios for the future, depending on whether this trend continues in the future. same rate, declines, or accelerates.

Population projections suggest that Christians will grow from the current 64% of the population to between 35% and 54% by 2070, depending on the rate at which people continue to move from Christian identification to “none”.

The study found that nearly one-third of people who were raised as Christians in the United States become unaffiliated between the ages of 15 and 29. Another seven percent lost faith after age 30.

If the rate of change from Christian to “unaffiliated” observed over the past three decades continues unabated, then those who join without faith will approach the majority of Americans over the next five decades.

“Depending on the future of religion change, people who identify as atheists, agnostics or ‘nothing in particular’ could become the largest (non)religious group in America in our lifetimes,” wrote researcher Stephanie Kramer. at Pew.

The change is a steep decline since the early 1990s, when about 90% of American adults identified as Christian.

Followers of non-Christian religions are expected to reach about 12-13% of the US population over the next 50 years, largely due to migration.

The study said projections suggested that the United States was following the path taken over the past 50 years by Western European countries, including the United Kingdom, where “nones” overtook Christians to become the largest group in 2009, according to British Social Attitudes. Investigation. In the Netherlands, where disaffiliation accelerated in the 1970s, only 47% of adults call themselves Christians.

The Pew researchers noted that their projections were sensitive to external events such as war, depression, climate crisis or changing immigration patterns.

But they said, “There is no data on which to model a sudden or gradual revival of Christianity (or religion in general) in the United States. This does not mean that a religious revival is impossible. This means that there is no demographic base on which to project one.